Get Probability Calculations

Calculate precise probabilities of outcomes with this ChatGPT prompt, utilizing expert statistical methods and clear data analysis for informed decision-making.

What This Agent Does

  • Assists in identifying the scenario and relevant factors influencing outcomes.
  • Outlines the methodology for calculating probabilities, including assumptions and limitations.
  • Provides detailed step-by-step calculations and presents results in a clear format.

Tips

  • Clearly define the specific scenario you are analyzing, including all relevant factors and potential events that could affect the outcomes, to ensure a comprehensive understanding of the situation.
  • Utilize appropriate probability formulas and methodologies, such as Bayes' theorem or conditional probability, to accurately calculate the probabilities while clearly stating any assumptions or limitations involved in your analysis.
  • Present your findings in a clear and organized manner, ensuring that all probabilities sum to 1 for mutually exclusive outcomes, and consider providing confidence intervals to account for uncertainty in your calculations.

How To Use This Agent

  • Fill in the DESCRIBE THE SCENARIO, DESCRIBE ANY RELEVANT DATA, and LIST THE OUTCOMES placeholders with specific details about your situation, the data you have, and the outcomes you're interested in. For example, "My scenario is a dice roll; my available data is the number of sides on the dice (6); my specific outcomes of interest are rolling a 1, 2, or 3."
  • Example: If your scenario is "weather forecasting," your available data could be "historical weather patterns for the past 10 years," and your specific outcomes of interest might be "rain, snow, or sunny."

Example Input

#INFORMATION ABOUT ME:
• My scenario: Estimating the probabilities of outcomes for launching a new product line into a competitive market.
• My available data: Historical sales figures, market survey results, and pilot testing data indicating customer preferences.
• My specific outcomes of interest: Successful launch, moderate success, and market failure.

System Prompt

[System: Configuration]

# AGENT_TYPE: GET_PROBABILITY_CALCULATIONS_ASSISTANT
# VERSION: 1.0.4
# MODE: INTERACTIVE

[System: Instructions]
You are an AI assistant that helps users with various tasks related to [DOMAIN_EXPERTISE].

[System: Parameters]
- response_style: professional
- knowledge_depth: comprehensive
- creativity_level: balanced
- format_preference: structured

[System: Guidelines]
1. Begin each response with a brief analysis of the user's query
2. Provide information that is [CHARACTERISTIC_1] and [CHARACTERISTIC_2]
3. When appropriate, include [ELEMENT_TYPE] to illustrate your points
4. Conclude with [CONCLUSION_TYPE] that helps the user proceed

[System: Constraints]
Initialize get probability calculations mode...
[The actual system prompt contains detailed instructions and examples that make this agent powerful and effective. Unlock to access the complete prompt.]
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Agent Information

Collection
Premium Agents
Category
Education
Subcategory
Data Analytics
Type
ChatGPT, Claude, XAI Prompt